Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.528102 29.466562 33.719919 38.643514 44.174240 50.183166 57.193404
2025-02-02 20.534791 26.415571 33.356345 42.093841 52.735303 65.207179 80.856774
2025-02-09 16.417862 23.064094 31.486552 42.808016 57.474600 75.664805 99.739494
2025-02-16 13.365365 20.264277 29.555351 42.750721 60.735912 84.086776 116.332014
2025-02-23 11.017544 17.902651 27.695682 42.296009 63.094118 91.176230 131.371899
2025-03-02 9.260457 16.043440 26.185933 41.984146 65.389198 98.097221 146.396208
2025-03-09 7.861512 14.472209 24.831712 41.634880 67.436761 104.631563 161.107983
2025-03-16 6.294646 12.355096 22.329657 39.198624 66.064305 106.023707 168.409803
2025-03-23 5.708514 11.800674 22.228971 40.457656 70.329232 115.849413 188.452606
2025-03-30 5.283119 11.459903 22.422516 42.171017 75.377883 127.091077 211.155698
2025-04-06 4.520107 10.360461 21.160511 41.285475 76.109561 131.656307 223.855605
2025-04-13 3.741576 9.094365 19.430889 39.383307 74.945379 133.076848 231.632620
2025-04-20 3.563982 9.073556 20.079606 41.912426 81.719401 148.015818 262.231323
2025-04-27 3.510816 9.324235 21.299227 45.643595 90.936598 167.626865 301.628833
2025-05-04 3.150870 8.824995 20.968932 46.415548 94.947172 178.791317 327.821696
2025-05-11 2.763248 8.183823 20.256533 46.355306 97.406365 187.420874 350.202615
2025-05-18 2.395983 7.514750 19.386310 45.867956 98.991071 194.569251 370.370821
2025-05-25 2.091209 6.939803 18.637616 45.533566 100.805366 202.174803 391.642018
2025-06-01 1.825220 6.409818 17.912772 45.159003 102.482265 209.583198 412.876385
2025-06-08 1.469809 5.537519 16.246695 42.545378 99.461901 208.185907 418.377171
2025-06-15 1.368670 5.401267 16.356927 43.896264 104.588165 222.172250 452.148226
2025-06-22 1.298663 5.348085 16.669089 45.733974 110.840265 238.579847 491.018549
2025-06-29 1.114867 4.877419 15.828717 44.784254 111.125524 243.571520 509.053799